To read more thoughts from Jason on the Knicks, continue to check here or on his site, http://www.malajas.com/knicks.
Now that the first round is over and the Knicks are out of the
playoffs, I can concentrate on making (mostly) unbiased predictions for
the road to the NBA Finals. The matchups are:
MIA vs IND, MIA currently leads 1-0
BOS vs PHI, BOS currently leads 1-0
SAS vs LAC
OKC vs LAL
The Eastern Conference games are not really interesting, but have the
potential to be dramatic. Two "Big 3" teams versus two fundamental, no
superstar teams. Miami, which is really a big two and Chris Bosh, will
prove once and for all that including Chris Bosh was really a mistake.
Sure it looked great and made us all hate Miami more, but if Pat Riley
had really thought about it and had to do it all over again, he probably
would have signed LeBron and saved the rest of the money for defense
and role players. Think about how dangerous they would be if they had
enough money to sign a competent veteran point guard and at least one
other defense stalwart at one of the other positions for what they paid
Bosh. I have no clue who was an available mid level free agent point
guard at the time, but it would have been great if they could have
gotten an Andre Miller lobber type or a Chauncey Billups leadership
type. Then they could have just concentrated on defense and looked for a
nice role player. Alright, Andre Miller makes $7.8M and Chauncey
$10.7, but that would have left some cap space compared to Bosh's
$14.5M. If they do not win this year, I see some kind of Bosh deal
happening, especially with the new collective bargaining agreement.
Miami will win this series in 6 games. Chris Bosh is hurt but they
will not miss him unless the Indiana bigs start taking over. Indiana is a
good team and deserved the 3rd seed, but they play largely the same
style as Miami without the superstars. They put up a good fight in the
first game for three quarters, but could not keep it up. I suspect that
will be the story for a large part of the series and they will squeak
by with two games, getting a lucky break here and there. Not entirely
interested in this series. Miami in 6.
The Boston/Philadelphia series is also not that interesting to me. I
have always liked the current incarnation of the Celtics, but they are
playing hurt and very old. This is the series with the potential for an
upset. I would much rather see a Boston/Miami Eastern Conference
Finals, but they may not get that far. Philadelphia just needs that one
win to gain some confidence and Doug Collins seems to be very capable
in keeping them focused and closing out the series. (Disclaimer: I am currently watching game 2 of this series and have changed the next sentence at least four times) Philly in 7.
Now for the good stuff. I would never have envisioned saying this
three years ago, or even last year, but I am looking forward to San
Antonio playing the Clippers and OKC playing the Lakers. I would also
never have guessed that I would be happy to see San Antonio play well
and picked them to win it all. From the limited time I have seen them
play, it seems like they are the most sound team in the NBA. With that
said, San Antonio will roll through the Clippers. This is a 5 game
series at most. I love Chris Paul and think he is amazing, but his
supporting cast lack too much and when he is off the court the Clippers
are atrocious. Sadly, they will probably end up with two more injuries
along the way. I saw some crazy stat like Blake Griffin had 38
field goals in the paint and none outside. That is incredible and no
way the Spurs allow anything remotely like that. San Antonio in 5.
The OKC/Lakers matchup is peculiar. I know OKC is the higher seed,
but are they really the better team? About a month ago, when Durant's
name was in the MVP talks, I may have thought OKC would run away with
it, but it still the Lakers. Pau Gasol may have finally come out of his
funk and Kobe will always be Kobe, so the Lakers are a dangerous team.
We also cannot forget The Elbow. And if I were a Thunder, like Ibaka
or Perkins, would I take a flagrant 2 if I saw Metta taking a soft
layup? I am not a vindictive person, but I would consider it and would not
be surprised if that happened. That could potentially give the Lakers a
game and thus, the series. So tough call with this one. I think the
Lakers lose this series if Kobe becomes option 1, 2 and 3, while Gasol
and Bynum fight for the rest of the touches. However, if they play a
solid inside out game, they probably beat OKC. Lakers in 6.
I am excited for the second round. The first round was largely
predictable and somewhat boring, probably because the Eastern Conference talent is few and not that intriguing right now. The second round, however, has a few
interesting matchups. Old school versus new school, teams versus
superstars. I think some of the series may go shorter than I predicted,
but the games themselves will be a lot more fun. This should be great.
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